The 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 Files
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Predictions

1. FC Heidenheim 1846

Polymarket and Altus Alpha Predictions

Tools for professional traders.

Next Match
Heidenheim vs Mainz
Kickoff
Sat 16 May, 13:30
Oracle
50.1% / 21.9% / 28.0%
Akte Heidenheim — Club-Dossier 1. FC Heidenheim
Predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Heidenheim's win probability against Mainz?
The Pinnacle Oracle calculates 50.1% win probability for Heidenheim (home).
Where does Heidenheim stand in the table?
Heidenheim are 17th with 26 points after 33 matchdays. Goal difference: -29.
What is the Pinnacle Oracle?
The Oracle removes the bookmaker margin (vig) from Pinnacle odds and normalizes to 100% — the sharpest available probability estimate.

Pinnacle Oracle

Oracle Pipeline BETA

Four stages, one question: where does Heidenheim's probability come from — and what moves it?

Heidenheim vs Mainz · Sat, 05/16, 01:30 PM

1

Base Model

Table + ppg

Home37%
Draw24%
Away39%

Heidenheim: 37%

2

Adjustments

Statistical Intelligence

  • Heidenheim home 0.0pp
Home37%
Draw24%
Away39%

Heidenheim: 37% (0.0pp)

3

Pinnacle Oracle

Vig-removed

Home50.1%
Draw21.9%
Away28%

Heidenheim: 50.1%

4

Smart Money

Line movement

Stage 4 in development — line history will be persisted from next season.

Model vs. Pinnacle: -13.1pp — Pipeline model sees Heidenheim weaker than Pinnacle

The pipeline is transparent: Stage 1 is a simple table model, Stage 2 applies significant splits from Statistical Intelligence, Stage 3 shows what Pinnacle (the sharpest bookmaker in the world) says. Stage 4 (sharp-money line movement) will follow once we persist line history.

Source: Pinnacle via TheOddsAPI · Updated: Fri 15 May, 18:01

Heidenheim vs Mainz Sat 16 May, 13:30
Heidenheim 50.1% 1.92
Draw 21.9% 4.39
Mainz 28.0% 3.43
Spread Heidenheim -0.5 @ 1.93
Total O/U 3.25 @ 1.94 / 1.93
Margin: 4.02%

Value Signals

No active Polymarket events for 1. FC Heidenheim 1846. Oracle data only.

Community Forecasts

Metaculus-style forecasts — no real money, fully compliant.

All 73 questions on Akte Bundesliga Forecasts →

Bundesliga Table · Matchday 33

# Club MP W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern 33 27 5 1 +82 86
2 BVB 33 21 7 5 +34 70
3 Leipzig 33 20 5 8 +22 65
4 Stuttgart 33 18 7 8 +22 61
5 Hoffenheim 33 18 7 8 +17 61
6 Leverkusen 33 17 7 9 +21 58
7 Freiburg 33 12 8 13 -9 44
8 Eintracht 33 11 10 12 -4 43
9 Augsburg 33 12 7 14 -12 43
10 Mainz 33 9 10 14 -11 37
11 HSV 33 9 10 14 -14 37
12 Union 33 9 9 15 -18 36
13 Gladbach 33 8 11 14 -15 35
14 Koeln 33 7 11 15 -10 32
15 Werder 33 8 8 17 -21 32
16 Wolfsburg 33 6 8 19 -26 26
17 Heidenheim 33 6 8 19 -29 26
18 St. Pauli 33 6 8 19 -29 26